The World Market Update 2011 is the 17th edition produced by BTM Consult ApS – A part of Navigant, and covers developments in the wind energy sector during 2011. As in previous editions, the report also assesses important changes over the last three years and forecasts progress for five years ahead. An executive summary gives easy access to the report’s main statistics and conclusions.
The special topic (Chapter 7) in this year’s WMU is a review of The Hydraulic Drivetrain. As hydraulic drivetrains emerge in the wind industry, their true potential has yet to be seen and it is still unclear how big of a role the technology will play—especially in the offshore wind market. World Market Update 2011 reviews the latest developments in hydraulic drivetrains, identifies the pros and cons, and compares the hydraulic technology to the industry’s three currently established drivetrain technologies: conventional gear‐, direct‐ and hybrid‐drivetrains.
Highlights of this report include:
- Milestone: 240 GW wind power globally
- 41 GW of new capacity added in 2011
- Top 10 wind turbine suppliers of 2011
- Top 15 wind farm operators as of 2011
- Market forecast to 2016 (on/offshore ) and predictions to 2021
- Latest incentives in more than 30 wind power markets
- Special section: Wind Turbine Technology – Hydraulic Drive Trains
- Major industry trends covered in more than 70 tables and graphs
- More than 150 pages including comprehensive assessment of both supply and demand in the wind market
Table of Contents
List of Tables
List of Figures
Abbreviations and Technical Units
Preface
Executive Summary
1. Introduction
1.1 Methodology
1.2 Sources
1.3 Major Events in the Wind Industry
2. Market Development in 2011 ‐ Demand Side
2.1 Status at the End of 2011
2.2 The Offshore Market in 2011
2.3 Trends in Established Markets
2.4 The Top 10 Markets in the World
2.5 Commercial MW Technology in the Market
3. Supply Side of the Market in 2011
3.1 The Top 10 Largest Manufacturers
3.2 Trends in the Competitive Market
4. Customers in the Market
4.1 Shifts in the Customer Base
4.2 Changes Observed in the Market After the Financial Crisis
4.3 Market Presence of Top 15 Utilities, IPPs and Developers
4.4 Targets and Project Pipelines of Main Players
4.5 Other Large Wind Power Investors
4.6 New Entrants
5. Market Forecasts and Estimates
5.1 Market Forecast for Development up to 2016
5.1.1 Value of the Forecast Capacity up to 2016
5.1.2 Emerging Markets
5.2 Market Forecast for Offshore Development up to 2016
5.3 Expectations and Predictions for Development 2017‐2021
5.4 Geopolitical Issues: The UN Climate Negotiations and EU Energy Policy
5.4.1 The UN Climate Negotiations and the Kyoto Protocol
5.4.2 European Energy Policy and Regulation
6. Penetration of Wind Power Electricity and Tariffs
6.1 Electricity Produced by Wind Energy in Selected Countries
6.1.1 The Contribution from Wind Energy in a Global Electricity Context
6.2 Feed‐in Tariffs in Selected Countries
7. Wind Turbine Technology – The Hydraulic Drivetrain
7.1 Introduction
7.2 General Hydraulic Drive Working Principles
7.2.1 Fundamental Hydraulic Knowledge
7.2.2 Hydraulic Drives
7.2.3 Variable Displacement Technology
7.3 Current Status of Hydraulic Drivetrains
7.3.1 ChapDrive
7.3.2 Mitsubishi Power Systems (Artemis Intelligent Power)
7.3.3 Orbital2 (Wikov Wind)
7.3.4 Voith WinDrive
7.4 Comparision of Present Drivetrain Technologies
7.4.1 Conventional Planetary Gearbox
7.4.2 Direct Drive
7.4.3 Hybrid Drive / Medium Speed Generator
7.5 Technology Comparison and Evaluation
7.6 Hydraulic Drive Technology Outlook
Appendices
A: Annually Installed Capacity and Market Shares in Major Markets (2011)
B: Profiles of Wind Turbine Manufacturers
C: Profiles of Major Sub‐Suppliers
D: Profiles of Wind Farm Owners/Operators/Developers
Index
List of Figures
- Annual & cumulative global wind energy development 1983-2011
- Total installed wind power capacity at the end of 2005, 2008 & 2011
- Market Share of Major Utilities and IPPs Cumulative installed capacity by region at the end of 2011 and by 2016
- Forecast for the years 2012-2016
- Expected world market in US$ sales according to the forecast
- Potential Offshore Wind Capacity in UK Waters
- Actual 1990-2011 – Forecast 2012-2016 – Prediction 2017-2021
- Prediction for Cumulative Installed Wind Capacity by 2017 and 2021
- Cumulative Wind Power Development up to 2021
- Cumulative failures by wind turbine component
- Schematic diagram of a hydraulic drivetrain (left) and transmission ratio (right)
- Comparative efficiency of Digital Displacement® and conventional hydraulic machines
- Illustration of 3 MW ChapDrive nacelle with integrated hydraulic drivetrain
- Illustration of Artemis cam shaft (left) and digital displacement valves (right)
- Illustration of the Wikov/Orbital2 2 MW drivetrain
- Schematic view of the Orbital2 drivetrain
- Illustration of Orbital2 gearbox 2nd stage internals (5.5 MW)
- WinDrive drivetrain for 2 MW turbine
- Outline sketch of the Voith WinDrive design
- Illustration of top head mass (nacelle + rotor) for selected concepts
- Illustration of maturity trend level (left) and Cost of Energy potential (right)
- Installed capacity in Brazil 1995-2011
- Manufacturers market shares in Brazil 2011
- Installed capacity in Canada 1995-2011
- Manufacturers market shares in Canada 2011
- Installed capacity in China 1995-2011
- Manufacturers market shares in China 2011
- Installed capacity in France 1995-2011
- Manufacturers market shares in France 2011
- Installed capacity in Germany 1995-2011
- Manufacturers market shares in Germany 2011
- Installed capacity in India 1995-2011
- Manufacturers market shares in India 2011
- Installed capacity in Italy 1995-2011
- Manufacturers market shares in Italy 2011
- Installed capacity in Spain 1995-2011
- Manufacturers market shares in Spain 2011
- Installed capacity in the Sweden 1995-2011
- Manufacturers market shares in the Sweden 2011
- Installed capacity in Turkey 1995-2011
- Manufacturers market shares in Turkey 2011
- Installed capacity in the UK 1995-2011
- Manufacturers market shares in the UK 2011
- Installed capacity in the USA 1995-2011
- Manufacturers market shares in the USA 2011
List of Tables
- World market growth rates 2006-2011
- Installed capacity in 2010 and 2011 (Global)
- Numbers of wind turbines worldwide
- Selected MW class wind turbines in the market
- The top-10 suppliers in 2011
- The five next in line
- Leading suppliers in the Top 10 markets in 2011
- Top-10 manufacturers’ share of supplied MWs
- Market shares in 2009, 2010 and 2011
- Segmentation of product sizes 2009-2011
- Segmentation of product sizes in 2010
- Leading suppliers in the four product segments – 2011
- Leading suppliers in the 1.5 MW+ segment – 2011
- Leading suppliers in the Multi-MW segment – 2011
- Leading Utility/IPP Wind Farm Operators
- Other Major Wind Farm Operators/Developers
- Forecast for wind power development 2012-2016 (Global)
- Forecast for wind power development 2012-2016 (Americas)
- Forecast for wind power development 2012-2016 (Asia)
- Forecast for wind power development 2012-2016 (Rest of the World)
- Forecast for wind power development 2012-2016 (Europe)
- Forecast for Offshore Wind Power Development 2012 to 2016
- Renewable energy targets for EU states to meet the “20% by 2020” policy
- Estimate of Electricity from “2011 Wind Power Capacity”, by Country
- Growth of Wind Power Compared to Worldwide Electricity Generation
- Contribution of Wind Power to Worldwide Electricity Generation
- Feed in tariffs for wind electricity in selected countries
- Development of direct drive wind turbines in the market over the last five years
- Strengths & Weaknesses of Variable Displacement Technology
- Comparison of Drivetrain Technologies
- Estimates for system efficiency level at rated power